Thursday, October 18, 2007

Lobo Football vs. SDSU: Fearless Predictions

This Saturday's football game is a really interesting game to predict. It's what sports journalists refer to as a "trap game," with the Lobos riding high after a big win over Wyoming and Air Force and TCU right on the horizon.

On the other hand, if there's one team that the Lobos just know how to beat, it's San Diego State. The Lobos have beaten the Aztecs six times in a row now, and the last two in particular were over almost as soon as they started.

On defense, the Lobos must watch Senior QB Kevin O'Connell, who is just about the only bright spot for this team. He's a dual-threat, so look for some big hits by the blitzing UNM defense.

On offense, the plan looks simple: SDSU has a porous run defense and Rodney Ferguson is the conference's leading rusher. Put two and two together, and the key to the game becomes pretty obvious. Look for a couple of big plays on play-action.

This game shouldn't be close, but there's just something about this game that has me worried. San Diego State isn't very good, but they're still better than last year. I think Chuck Long will turn this program around, just not yet. This one still may be closer than people would think.

UNM - 22
SDSU - 13

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