Saturday, May 10, 2008

Too-Early Basketball Outlook: What We Know

I know it's only May, but it's as good of a time as any to take a look at next year's team.

What we know

We can count on this production from these players based on their previous years' performance and as seniors they're unlikely to make a HUGE jump in productivity. These three guys will likely be our Big Three in terms of scoring and leadership and if we're going to have a good season all three of these guys will have to have good seasons.

1. Chad Toppert will shoot 45% from three and average 10-12 points and 4 rebounds per game. Chad made small improvements across the board from his sophomore to junior season (9.5 pts to 10.3, 2.6 reb to 3.2, .7 ast to 1.5, 46% 3P% to 48%) so I'd expect similar small improvements. What Chad needs to work on the most is his consistency and concentration at the free throw line.

2. Daniel Faris will shoot 50% from the field and average 10-12 points and 4-6 rebounds per game. Daniel will be the only proven scorer in the block for us, and until the new guys get adjusted I'd expect him to play a ton of minutes.

3. Tony Danridge will shoot 50% from the field and average 12-15 points per game. Tony's output is the most difficult to predict because he's coming off an injury year, but from all accounts he has been injury-free since at least January and it's been reported that he's looked like the same player, if not better.

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